WEEKLY MARKET UPDATES

Cromford Index Slide Slows as Mortgage Rates Dip Below 7%

Over the past month, the average change in the Cromford Market Index (CMI) has been a notable -7.2%, a more significant decline than the -6.9% observed the previous week. However, there is a silver lining as the rate of decline appears to be slowing. This week’s -0.3% change is an improvement compar
Split Buyer Demand Defines July 2024 Housing Market Across Price Ranges

In recent analyses of the real estate market, particularly focusing on the single-family detached segment, we have delved into contract ratios across various price ranges, comparing data from July 1st, 2024 to the same date in 2023 and 2022 (See 2nd graph below). This examination provides a comprehe
Maricopa & Pinal Counties See Surge in Building Permits Amid Market Shift

The housing market in Maricopa and Pinal counties is experiencing a notable surge in new construction activities, as evidenced by the substantial number of building permits issued for single-family homes. In May 2024 alone, authorities issued 2,740 permits, marking a 22% increase compared to the 2,2
Phoenix Housing Market Slips as Seller Momentum Fades

In the real estate market, recent trends have shown a pronounced decline, with the Cromford® Market Index (CMI) recording an average drop of 5.0% over the past month. This decrease is sharper compared to the 3.4% fall observed last week, signaling an intensification of the downward trajectory initia
Phoenix Buyer Demand Hits 17-Year Low: What’s Holding the Market Back?

In the current real estate market, week 23 of 2024 has seen a startlingly low number of homes under contract, with only 8,238 listings—a number that hasn't been this dismal since 2007. The data highlights a concerning trend, as not once this year has the market managed to surpass the already low tot
Why Median Sales Price Offers Better Insight Into Market Trends

In the realm of real estate analysis, the median sales price is often preferred by analysts due to its robustness in handling data of varying quality and its ability to ignore extreme values at both ends of the spectrum. Despite the relatively small number of transactions in the luxury market, these
Phoenix Resale Market Cools as Contract Ratio Falls to 46.1

The real estate resale market is currently experiencing a slight downturn, as evidenced by an increase in available inventory coupled with a persistent lack of buyer interest. A critical tool for gauging this trend is the contract ratio, which offers a comparison between the number of active listing
Mortgage Rates Drop for 3rd Week — Refinances Rise, Buyers Hesitate

Last week, mortgage interest rates experienced a decline for the third consecutive week, which led to a surge in refinancing activity. Despite this decrease, the response from homebuyers remained tepid. According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index, the total mo
Why New Construction Homes Dominate the Phoenix Market in 2024

If you’re in the market for a home in Phoenix, many of the properties you see will likely be new builds. In the first quarter of this year, about 33.4% of single-family homes available for sale were newly built, nearly double the pre-pandemic levels. This trend is not necessarily due to an increase
Phoenix-Area Seller's Markets Expand Slightly as CMI Edges Higher

Once again, we are seeing small signs of improvement in the market for sellers in certain sub-markets. This trend is particularly evident in the changes observed in the Cromford® Market Index (CMI). Over the past month, the average change in CMI is +1.8%, slightly up from +1.7% last week. This gradu
Phoenix Real Estate Sets New Record at $308/SqFt — Again Defying Crash Predictions

Over the past four days, the ARMLS database has recorded a significant milestone in the real estate market, with the monthly average price per square foot for closed listings across all areas and types surpassing $308, setting a new record at $308.01. This achievement not only marks a historic high
Phoenix Price Cuts Surge — But Don’t Mistake It for a Crash

The real estate market has recently witnessed a substantial number of price reductions, with almost 9,000 price cuts observed over the last four weeks. This is a rate not seen since January of the previous year. This sudden surge in price reductions is reminiscent of the period between June and Dece
Phoenix Home Prices Cross $300/SqFt as Market Nears New Peak

In recent market analyses, there has been a significant observation concerning real estate pricing: the average price per square foot across various regions and property types has once again surpassed the $300 mark. This resurgence in pricing is an important indicator of the current market dynamics,
Phoenix-Area Real Estate Market Inches Forward Despite High Rates

Over the past month, the real estate market dynamics, as measured by the Cromford® Market Index (CMI), have seen a subtle yet noticeable shift. The average change in the CMI across various locations has increased by +0.3%, a modest rise from the previous week’s stagnant zero percent change. This alt
Foreclosures Then vs. Now: How Far the Housing Market Has Come

Reflecting on the housing market landscape from a decade and a half ago, the conversation was predominantly centered around foreclosures, a stark contrast to the current scenario where months can pass without the topic even arising. This significant shift highlights how the dynamics of the housing m
New Builds Overtake Resales as Buyer Preferences Shift in 2024

The housing market, particularly in the resale segment, has experienced a noticeable decrease in transaction volumes over several months, highlighting a trend of stagnation within this part of the industry. Conversely, the market for new homes tells a strikingly different story, one of growth and in
Subtle Market Shifts Signal a Slower Spring for Sellers

In the recent assessment of the real estate market dynamics, a subtle yet noticeable shift has occurred, marking a slight deterioration for sellers compared to the previous week. This trend is reflected in the average change in the Cromford® Market Index (CMI) over the last month, which registered a
Why U.S. Housing Affordability Is Worse Than Ever — And What Needs to Change

The landscape of housing affordability in the United States has evolved dramatically, influenced by factors beyond just high mortgage rates. A few years back, an average household earning $59,000 annually could easily secure a mortgage, ensuring their housing costs didn't exceed 30% of their monthly
Ultra-Luxury Real Estate Surges: Prices Over $7.5M Up 33% Year-Over-Year

The ultra-luxury home market is currently experiencing an unprecedented phenomenon that defies the norms of real estate trends. Within the past year, specifically comparing February 2023 to February 2024, there has been a remarkable surge in the average price per square foot for homes valued at $7.5
New Home Sales Surge in Maricopa & Pinal Counties While Re-Sales Hit 10-Year Low

The dynamics of the housing market in Maricopa and Pinal Counties exhibit a clear trend favoring new home sales over re-sales. In January, the number of new homes sold across these regions underscored the robustness of the new home market. A total of 1,507 new homes were closed, marking a significan
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