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Phoenix-Area Seller's Markets Expand Slightly as CMI Edges Higher

Once again, we are seeing small signs of improvement in the market for sellers in certain sub-markets. This trend is particularly evident in the changes observed in the Cromford® Market Index (CMI). Over the past month, the average change in CMI is +1.8%, slightly up from +1.7% last week. This gr
Phoenix Real Estate Sets New Record at $308/SqFt — Again Defying Crash Predictions

Over the past four days, the ARMLS database has recorded a significant milestone in the real estate market, with the monthly average price per square foot for closed listings across all areas and types surpassing $308, setting a new record at $308.01. This achievement not only marks a historic hi
Phoenix Price Cuts Surge — But Don’t Mistake It for a Crash

The real estate market has recently witnessed a substantial number of price reductions, with almost 9,000 price cuts observed over the last four weeks. This is a rate not seen since January of the previous year. This sudden surge in price reductions is reminiscent of the period between June and
Phoenix Home Prices Cross $300/SqFt as Market Nears New Peak

In recent market analyses, there has been a significant observation concerning real estate pricing: the average price per square foot across various regions and property types has once again surpassed the $300 mark. This resurgence in pricing is an important indicator of the current market dynami
Phoenix-Area Real Estate Market Inches Forward Despite High Rates

Over the past month, the real estate market dynamics, as measured by the Cromford® Market Index (CMI), have seen a subtle yet noticeable shift. The average change in the CMI across various locations has increased by +0.3%, a modest rise from the previous week’s stagnant zero percent change. This
Foreclosures Then vs. Now: How Far the Housing Market Has Come

Reflecting on the housing market landscape from a decade and a half ago, the conversation was predominantly centered around foreclosures, a stark contrast to the current scenario where months can pass without the topic even arising. This significant shift highlights how the dynamics of the housin
New Builds Overtake Resales as Buyer Preferences Shift in 2024

The housing market, particularly in the resale segment, has experienced a noticeable decrease in transaction volumes over several months, highlighting a trend of stagnation within this part of the industry. Conversely, the market for new homes tells a strikingly different story, one of growth and
Subtle Market Shifts Signal a Slower Spring for Sellers

In the recent assessment of the real estate market dynamics, a subtle yet noticeable shift has occurred, marking a slight deterioration for sellers compared to the previous week. This trend is reflected in the average change in the Cromford® Market Index (CMI) over the last month, which registere
Why U.S. Housing Affordability Is Worse Than Ever — And What Needs to Change

The landscape of housing affordability in the United States has evolved dramatically, influenced by factors beyond just high mortgage rates. A few years back, an average household earning $59,000 annually could easily secure a mortgage, ensuring their housing costs didn't exceed 30% of their mont
Ultra-Luxury Real Estate Surges: Prices Over $7.5M Up 33% Year-Over-Year

The ultra-luxury home market is currently experiencing an unprecedented phenomenon that defies the norms of real estate trends. Within the past year, specifically comparing February 2023 to February 2024, there has been a remarkable surge in the average price per square foot for homes valued at
New Home Sales Surge in Maricopa & Pinal Counties While Re-Sales Hit 10-Year Low

The dynamics of the housing market in Maricopa and Pinal Counties exhibit a clear trend favoring new home sales over re-sales. In January, the number of new homes sold across these regions underscored the robustness of the new home market. A total of 1,507 new homes were closed, marking a signifi
Spring 2024 Housing Market Falters: Sales Volume Hits 15-Year Low in Phoenix

As we embarked on the new year, there was a prevailing optimism that sales volumes would experience a turnaround and start an upward trajectory, particularly with the advent of the Spring season, traditionally a robust period for sales. However, this anticipated rebound has not materialized as ho
2024 Real Estate Starts Sluggish: Listings Under Contract Lag Behind

In the current real estate landscape, the number of listings under contract presents a somewhat discouraging picture, with only 8,182 listings reaching this stage after the first seven weeks of the year. This figure falls short when compared to the same timeframe in previous years, with 8,877 lis
Arizona Housing Market in Neutral: Why Momentum Is Stalling in 2024

Reflecting on the latest trends in the real estate market, it's interesting to see a slight increase in the percentage of the list price that sellers are achieving with the contract price, which has risen from 96.61% to 97.58% since last year. This uptick, albeit modest, signals a shift towards a
Mortgage Rates Spike Above 7% Again—What It Means for 2024 Buyers

The recent ascent of 30-year fixed mortgage rates above 7% highlights the ongoing volatility in the housing market, spurred by unexpected strength in economic reports. This trend, featuring a momentary spike to 8%, underscores the intricate relationship between Federal Reserve actions, the 10-yea
Will Rate Cuts Help Housing? Why Lowering Interest Might Backfire on Affordability

  Senator Elizabeth Warren, together with three colleagues, has reached out to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell with a request to consider lowering interest rates at the next Fed meeting to make housing more accessible and affordable. Their letter underscores the critical impact of the Fed's
Phoenix Metro Sees Buyer Surge: Contract Ratios Rise in 2024

In recent weeks, several cities have witnessed a significant increase in their contract ratios for single-family detached homes. This ratio is a key indicator of market demand versus supply, and a rise suggests an uptick in demand. The cities of Apache Junction, Anthem, Arizona City, Gilbert, Sun
Phoenix Housing Market Rebounds: Cromford Index Surges 10% in Seller’s Favor

The recent developments in the real estate market have been a source of optimism for sellers, as indicated by the latest data on the Cromford® Market Index. This index, a key indicator of housing market trends, has shown an encouraging trend across 17 major cities. Over the past month, there has
Job Revisions Signal Economic Strain — Will Distressed Sellers Shift the 2024 Housing Market?

The notable downward revisions in job data for October and November, which collectively reduced reported payroll figures by 71,000, have broader implications for the economy, particularly in the real estate sector. With 10 of the past 11 months showing a cumulative downward revision of 427,000 jo
Pending Home Sales Flat in November — Will Lower Rates Spark 2024 Growth?

In a report released on December 28th, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) revealed that pending home sales in November remained unchanged from October, marking stability in the market. However, these figures also indicated a 5.2% decline from November of the previous year. This data, cruc
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Nick Calamia

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